Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
12º
9º
31
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 2
MID
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STO
3 - 0
MID
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MID
0 - 2
SUN
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 1
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MID
4 - 2
LIV
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DER
4 - 2
LEE
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 3
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
MAN
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |