Middlesbrough vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 0
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
MID
0 - 1
MAC
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
MID
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MID
3 - 0
SCU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 0
LEI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
LEI
2 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 0
CRY
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
REA
1 - 1
SWA
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SHW
0 - 2
SWA
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |