Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
WHU
3 - 0
MID
48%
27%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MID
2 - 0
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
MID
2 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
FUL
1 - 2
MID
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SUN
2 - 1
REA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MUD
1 - 0
SUN
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
3 - 0
SUN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
19%
27%
54%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WIG
3 - 0
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |