Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
BBU
2 - 2
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
MID
5 - 1
GRI
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
MAC
6 - 0
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1936 |
MID
4 - 1
CHL
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
GRI
3 - 1
MID
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
SUN
1 - 3
BRE
78%
12%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
SHW
0 - 0
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 3
EVE
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
PNE
3 - 2
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 1
WOL
76%
13%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |