Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
BBU
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
MID
4 - 0
NTT
75%
15%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
MID
29%
24%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 5
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
TOT
0 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
TOT
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |