Middlesbrough vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
WBA
0 - 2
MID
32%
28%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
MID
0 - 1
STU
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PNE
0 - 2
MID
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
STU
1 - 2
MID
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRU
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
EMP
73%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BRU
1 - 2
ROM
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |