Middlesbrough vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
MID
3 - 1
PNE
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
SHW
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
MID
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEE
1 - 0
MID
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
OLD
0 - 3
MID
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
SCU
0 - 1
REA
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NTT
4 - 0
REA
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
HUR
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
IPS
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
REA
3 - 1
NEW
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |