Middlesbrough vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 3
MID
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MID
1 - 2
SUN
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MID
0 - 0
CRY
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 2
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
REA
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
COV
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
HUL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |