Middlesbrough vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
POR
2 - 3
MID
37%
23%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
MID
5 - 1
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
GRI
1 - 4
MID
42%
23%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
MID
3 - 1
BRI
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
NTT
1 - 1
MID
37%
23%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
REA
4 - 3
TOT
34%
25%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
TOT
2 - 2
REA
82%
12%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
LEY
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
REA
3 - 3
CHL
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
BAR
2 - 3
REA
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |