Middlesbrough vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
SHW
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
MID
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEE
1 - 0
MID
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
OLD
0 - 3
MID
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MID
2 - 0
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PNE
1 - 0
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
DON
1 - 1
PNE
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SCU
0 - 4
PNE
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 2
PNE
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PNE
1 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |