Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
LEY
1 - 1
MID
44%
24%
33%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
MID
1 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
NOT
2 - 1
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
MID
2 - 1
GRI
72%
16%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
MID
3 - 2
BRO
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
POR
2 - 1
FUL
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
NTT
4 - 2
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
POR
0 - 0
WHU
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
BBU
2 - 4
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
BRI
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |