Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
FUL
4 - 1
MID
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
WHU
1 - 0
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
MID
2 - 0
WHU
70%
16%
13%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
MID
5 - 3
LEE
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
NOT
5 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
SWA
0 - 0
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
POR
1 - 2
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
POR
4 - 1
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
BRO
1 - 2
POR
66%
18%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |