Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
MID
1 - 5
LEI
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
MID
1 - 3
FUL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
BAR
1 - 0
MID
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
MUD
2 - 0
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
MID
1 - 1
MUD
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
POR
2 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
WOL
1 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
POR
1 - 2
LEI
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
LEI
7 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
POR
2 - 1
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |