Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1901 |
BUR
2 - 2
MID
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1901 |
MID
2 - 1
PNE
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1901 |
LEI
0 - 2
MID
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1901 |
MID
2 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1901 |
ARS
0 - 3
MID
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1901 |
CHE
4 - 3
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1901 |
POR
1 - 1
BUR
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1901 |
PNE
2 - 0
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1901 |
POR
3 - 0
LEI
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1901 |
BAR
4 - 0
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |