Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1900 |
BUR
2 - 0
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1900 |
CHE
2 - 3
MID
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1900 |
MID
2 - 2
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1900 |
MUD
4 - 0
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1900 |
MID
2 - 0
LIN
51%
22%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1900 |
POR
0 - 0
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1900 |
MUD
4 - 0
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1900 |
POR
2 - 0
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1900 |
GRI
6 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1900 |
POR
0 - 1
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |