Middlesbrough vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1900 |
LUT
1 - 1
MID
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1900 |
MID
0 - 1
LEI
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1900 |
BAR
5 - 2
MID
29%
24%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1900 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1900 |
CHE
7 - 1
MID
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1900 |
POR
1 - 0
WAL
32%
25%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1900 |
BUR
2 - 2
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1900 |
POR
0 - 3
SHW
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1900 |
LUT
1 - 1
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1900 |
POR
0 - 2
LEI
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |