Middlesbrough vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
OPA
0 - 1
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
MID
4 - 1
DAR
92%
5%
2%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
MID
5 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BAR
1 - 1
MID
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
OLD
1 - 3
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
SOU
0 - 1
OLD
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
OLD
1 - 2
CHL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
PNE
5 - 2
OLD
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
REA
6 - 1
OLD
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |