Middlesbrough vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 0
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CRY
4 - 1
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
MID
1 - 0
LEE
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MID
2 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IPS
4 - 0
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 5
POS
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LUT
0 - 3
MIL
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BPO
2 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
HUL
49%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
MIL
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |