Middlesbrough vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MID
0 - 0
LEI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MID
0 - 0
IPS
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CRY
2 - 1
MID
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRY
0 - 1
MID
29%
28%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 1
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
WOL
5 - 0
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
WHU
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |