Middlesbrough vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
11.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1929 |
MID
1 - 0
OLD
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
NOT
0 - 3
MID
41%
23%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
MID
8 - 3
WOL
79%
13%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
SOU
1 - 1
MID
44%
23%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
MID
4 - 5
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
MIL
3 - 1
PNE
46%
22%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
REA
0 - 2
MIL
58%
21%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
MIL
5 - 1
TOT
39%
23%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
MIL
2 - 1
POR
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
MIL
2 - 0
LEY
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |