Middlesbrough vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 2
MID
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MID
1 - 0
QPR
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HUL
3 - 0
MID
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
MID
1 - 0
ROT
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MID
3 - 0
CHA
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
3 - 3
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EVE
4 - 0
ASV
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WHU
1 - 1
EVE
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EVE
6 - 2
SUN
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |