Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MID
0 - 0
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 2
MID
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
0 - 2
MID
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MID
1 - 0
QPR
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
QPR
0 - 0
BUR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 2
PNE
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
BHA
56%
25%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WOL
0 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |