Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MID
1 - 0
STF
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BPO
3 - 0
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MID
1 - 1
POS
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MID
1 - 0
HUL
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
NOR
4 - 1
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
LEE
2 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 0
DON
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BHA
0 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |