Middlesbrough vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
MID
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MID
4 - 3
STF
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
MID
5 - 1
NEW
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
PLY
0 - 1
MID
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
SHW
1 - 2
MID
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUT
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
NTT
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEW
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
NTT
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |