Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HUL
2 - 1
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MID
1 - 3
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
MID
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
ARS
15%
19%
66%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
WIG
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 0
ARS
13%
22%
66%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
DYN
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |