Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
LEE
0 - 3
MID
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
MID
3 - 3
LEI
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
16%
23%
61%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ARS
4 - 1
MID
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |