Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MID
3 - 0
WBA
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MID
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 3
MID
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHE
83%
13%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
17%
24%
59%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 3
ARS
42%
25%
34%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |