Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
WIM
1 - 0
MID
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
IPS
2 - 1
MID
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 0
MID
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2000 |
MID
1 - 3
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 3
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
ARS
1 - 2
IPS
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
ARS
5 - 0
MAC
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
ARS
4 - 2
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
WHU
1 - 2
ARS
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |