Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
MID
0 - 0
WIM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ARS
5 - 1
MID
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
MID
1 - 1
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
MID
2 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
WAT
1 - 3
MID
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ARS
2 - 1
DER
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
ARS
3 - 0
NAN
57%
24%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ARS
5 - 1
MID
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1999 |
AIK
2 - 3
ARS
16%
26%
58%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |