Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
MID
1 - 1
IPS
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
MID
2 - 0
QPR
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
CHA
3 - 0
MID
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
QPR
2 - 2
MID
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
COV
2 - 2
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1998 |
POR
1 - 1
ARS
17%
25%
58%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEE
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1998 |
WHU
1 - 2
ARS
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
ARS
0 - 0
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |