Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
MID
2 - 0
TOT
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1977 |
MID
4 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
COV
1 - 1
MID
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
MID
2 - 0
DER
37%
29%
35%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1977 |
MID
0 - 0
STO
47%
28%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
ARS
3 - 1
COV
62%
23%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
BRI
2 - 0
ARS
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 3
ARS
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |