Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
SUN
0 - 2
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
MID
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
ASV
5 - 3
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1953 |
MID
3 - 3
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
OPA
0 - 2
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
LIV
1 - 2
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
ARS
4 - 3
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1953 |
MUD
2 - 2
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
ARS
4 - 1
SHW
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |