Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1933 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
65%
17%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
EVE
0 - 0
MID
73%
14%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1933 |
SHE
2 - 0
MID
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
MID
2 - 0
BPO
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1933 |
SUN
0 - 0
MID
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
ARS
5 - 0
ASV
63%
18%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1933 |
ARS
1 - 2
WOL
76%
14%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1933 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIV
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |