Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
MID
0 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
OLD
3 - 3
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |