Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1900 |
CHE
7 - 1
MID
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1900 |
GRI
2 - 0
MID
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1900 |
MID
5 - 2
NEW
45%
23%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1900 |
BIR
5 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
MID
1 - 1
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1900 |
ARS
3 - 1
WAL
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1900 |
POR
1 - 1
ARS
35%
25%
41%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1900 |
ARS
3 - 1
LUT
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1899 |
LEI
0 - 0
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1899 |
LIN
5 - 0
ARS
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |