Middlesbrough vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MID
0 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
WAT
1 - 0
MID
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MID
4 - 3
STF
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
MID
5 - 1
NEW
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
PLY
0 - 1
MID
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
0 - 0
CRY
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 2
BBU
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WHU
3 - 5
BOU
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
BOU
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 3
BOU
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |