Middlesbrough vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MID
1 - 2
LEI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SHW
2 - 0
MID
48%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MID
2 - 2
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
MID
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NEW
4 - 1
STA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
OXF
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 1
STA
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 1
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |