Middelfart vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
4º
21
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
MID
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 1
MID
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
NAS
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SIK
1 - 1
MID
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
OKS
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 3
ROS
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 0
HEL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
HEL
22%
22%
57%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 4
HEL
47%
22%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 3
HIL
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |