Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
9º
3º
44
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MID
0 - 0
OBK
14%
19%
68%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THI
1 - 0
MID
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MID
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MID
2 - 1
SKI
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
EIN
61%
21%
19%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
0 - 2
AAF
4%
9%
88%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
3 - 1
IIF
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 0
IFL
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
AAF
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 2
ROS
46%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |