Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
OFA
0 - 6
MID
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SKI
2 - 0
MID
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
FRE
4 - 1
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
FRE
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
0 - 6
AAF
5%
10%
85%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ESB
1 - 2
AAF
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
HOB
2 - 0
AAF
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
B93
0 - 5
AAF
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |