Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OTB
0 - 2
MID
40%
23%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MID
5 - 1
SKA
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 3
MID
56%
21%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MID
3 - 1
SKI
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
MID
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AAF
0 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KJE
0 - 5
AAF
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
AAF
0 - 3
AGF
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 0
SOL
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
THI
0 - 3
AAF
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |