Mictlán vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
MIX
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
COM
3 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 2
UNI
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 1
ACH
23%
22%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |