Mictlán vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
ACH
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
3 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 2
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
DEP
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
COM
4 - 1
UNI
84%
13%
3%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
4 - 2
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 4
COM
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |