Mictlán vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
MIX
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 0
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
LEO
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
QUI
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
UNI
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAY
0 - 1
UNI
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAC
1 - 0
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |