Guatemala First Division Apertura Final
Global 3-0
Mictlán vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 3
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
NUE
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NUE
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 2
SAC
72%
17%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 2
VEN
20%
23%
56%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPD
1 - 0
SAC
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 0
SPD
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |