Mictlán vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
3 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
AUR
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 2
SAC
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAC
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |