Mictlán vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
IZA
0 - 1
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CON
7 - 1
COB
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PET
2 - 0
CON
25%
23%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 1
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
SAC
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 0
PET
47%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 0
SAC
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
4 - 1
SAC
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |