Mictlán vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
CON
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
COB
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
5 - 1
DEP
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAY
2 - 0
QUI
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
MIX
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
QUI
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 3
HER
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |