Mictlán vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 2
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 1
AUR
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
PAL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
MIX
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
3 - 1
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |