Mictlán vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SAY
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
SAC
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
5 - 2
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MIX
3 - 2
HER
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
MIX
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
MIX
1 - 0
COB
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
MIX
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIX
0 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |